| Title: | Implications of the Dutch Book |
| Date: |
December 7, 2007 (Friday)
|
| Time: |
3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m.
|
| Venue: |
Room 121, 1/F, Ho Sin-hang Engineering Building,
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T. |
| Speaker: |
Dr. Wei Xiong
Associate Professor Department of Philosophy Sun Yat-Sen University (SYSU) China |
The classical Dutch Book argument shows that an agent will lose surely (a Dutch Book is made) if his degrees of belief in propositions do not satisfy the laws of the probability. Yet a question arises here: what does the Dutch Book imply? In this talk, we will show that the coherence in Bayesian decision theory means that the assignments of values and degrees of belief are consistent with the ordering of preference. The harmonious (or representation) relationships between the qualitative and quantitative concepts do not exist if a Dutch Book is made.
BIOGRAPHY:
Dr. Wei Xiong received his PhD degree in philosophy at Sun Yat-Sen University (SYSU), China. He studied at Carnegie Mellon University one year as a visiting scholar in 2005, supported by the China State Scholarships. He is currently an associate professor in Philosophy Department at SYSU. He is also a researcher in Institute of Logic and Cognition at SYSU, one of key research institutes in Chinese universities, where he leads research in uncertainty in artificial intelligence, decision and rational choice theory.
Enquiries: Miss Temmy So at tel 2609 8444
For more information, please refer to http://www.cse.cuhk.edu.hk/seminar